Can Crash Game Strategy Actually Work?
No strategy can overcome the house edge in crash games. Aviator pays out at 97%. For every 100 AUD you wager, the casino takes 3 AUD. This is mathematically set in stone before the round starts. There is no strategy that will overcome this.
What a crash game strategy can do is help control your variance in crash games and remove mistakes. Many people lose their money much faster than the house edge would normally allow them to. This is due to bad decisions during their crash game sessions. The following tips will help you overcome this.
How the AUD 45 figure works
Crash games can reach 15 rounds per minute. After one hour, you will have completed 900 rounds. At 5 AUD per round, that is 4,500 AUD wagered. At 3% house edge, you will have lost 135 AUD. If you play at 20 rounds per hour at 5 AUD per round you wager 100 AUD and lose 3 AUD. The faster you play, the faster you will lose to the house edge. Slow down.
7 Crash Game Strategy Tips Based on the Math
Tip 01
Set your session budget before you open the game
Before you load the casino with your bankroll, decide on the maximum amount of money that you are willing to lose on the crash game session. This is either written on a piece of paper or set within your casino deposit limit. Once you have hit this limit the game session should end.
Set your crash game session budget to 50 times your average bet size. If your bet size is 5 AUD your game session budget should be 250 AUD. This gives you a good number of rounds to play during your game session without losing all of your money in one bad run of variance.
Tip 02
Use auto cashout to remove mid-round hesitation
A good strategy is to set a target for the crash game multiplier before you start the round and set your crash game to auto cash out at this target. This will remove the mistakes that people make when they want to cash out at, for example, 2x but then the game crashes at 2x, they hesitate at 2.2x and then it crashes.
While using an auto cash out strategy will not change the way that you experience the house edge, it will prevent impulsive decisions that can destroy your game session budget.
Tip 03
Understand what you are choosing between: low multiplier vs high multiplier
Crashing out at 1.5x means you will win more rounds but earn smaller amounts of money. Crashing at 10x means that you will win less but win larger amounts when you do win. The expected value of both of these strategies is the same because of the 3% house edge.
Playing at a low crash game multiplier of 1.5x means you will have more frequent wins but lose money at a slower rate. Playing at a high crash game multiplier means you will lose many games in a row but win one in a while. Neither strategy will beat the house edge but playing at the lower rate means that your bankroll will last you longer during your game session.
Tip 04
How many rounds per dollar — work this out before you play
Each round in a crash game has an expected return of 4.85 AUD for a player betting 5 AUD each round in Aviator. This means that each round will result in a loss of 0.15 AUD for the player. To play through 50 AUD at this rate, you will have to play 333 crash game rounds which takes around 22 minutes at 15 rounds per minute.
To play for one hour with 100 AUD you should limit your bet size to 1 AUD per round or limit your rate to no more than 11 rounds per minute.
Tip 05
The gambler's fallacy: past crashes tell you nothing about the next one
Each round in a crash game is independent of the others. The crash point for round X has nothing to do with the crash point for round X+1. Each round has the same chance of crashing as any other round within the game.
The idea that the next crash game will hit a high crash multiplier after a run of low ones is a fallacy. Each round resets completely. Prior results have no effect on the next one.
Tip 06
Stop chasing losses — set a loss limit per session, not just a total
If you are losing money within the first part of your game session, even if you have a budget set for that session, you should end that session right away. This is because you are experiencing a losing variance. Continuing to play will not change this outcome.
If you have lost more than 40% of your game session budget within the first quarter of the session, end that session right away. Play again when you are ready.
Tip 07
Check the RTP before you play — it differs between casinos
Most crash games run at 97% RTP but some run at 95% or 96% RTP which means that for every 100 AUD players wager, the crash game houses will take 5 or 2 AUD respectively. This is much more damaging to players than the 3% house edge at 97% RTP. Always confirm the RTP of the crash game you want to play.
SlotsPalace, Neon54, and Woo Casino all run crash games at 97% RTP in Australia. Other crash games may have a different RTP, so confirm this before you play.
Low Multiplier vs High Multiplier — Which Crash Strategy Fits You?
Both strategies will result in the player losing to the house over time. However, the strategy determines the manner in which the player loses their money.
| Approach | Target multiplier | Win frequency | Bankroll duration | Variance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very conservative | 1.2–1.5x | High (~66–80%) | Long | Low |
| Conservative | 1.5–2x | High (~50–66%) | Moderate-long | Low |
| Balanced | 2–5x | Moderate (20–50%) | Moderate | Medium |
| Aggressive | 5–20x | Low (5–20%) | Short | High |
| High risk | 20x+ | Very low (<5%) | Very short | Very high |
None of these beat the house edge
While all five crash game strategies have the same RTP of 97%, they all have different levels of variance and frequency with which the player will win and lose money.
A Real Crash Game Bankroll Example in AUD
Let's look at an example of how these strategies work. A player with a bankroll of 200 AUD will place 5 AUD bets on Aviator with an auto cash out at 2x.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Starting bankroll | AUD 200 |
| Bet per round | AUD 5 |
| Auto cashout target | 2x (win AUD 10, net +AUD 5) |
| Expected win frequency at 2x | ~50% of rounds |
| Expected loss per round | AUD 0.15 (3% of AUD 5) |
| Expected loss per 100 rounds | AUD 15 |
| Rounds until bankroll gone (expected) | ~1,333 rounds |
| Time at 15 rounds/min | ~89 minutes |
Due to variance the player may have finished their bankroll in as little as 30 minutes or they may still have their money after three hours of play. The expected value is the average number of winning and losing rounds over many players and sessions.
Where to Apply This Crash Strategy in Australia
We tested crash games at 6 AU casinos and found that SlotsPalace and Neon54 offer the most crash game titles. Both casinos run at 97% RTP on their Aviator crash game.
See our complete ranked list of crash game casinos in Australia with withdrawal limits: Best Crash Casinos Australia.
Play Responsibly
No crash game strategy will overcome the house edge in the long run. Set a game session budget before you start playing crash games. If you are addicted to gambling, help is available around the clock: Gambling Help Online - 1800 858 858. 18+ only.
Lachie tested crash game strategies at 6 AU crash game casinos including real money Aviator, JetX and BGaming crash games. All the data in this article was collected from these crash game providers. Read his full profile.